Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.183758 0.211235 0.242551 0.281123 0.327684 0.382491 0.452504
2025-06-01 0.139248 0.173780 0.217509 0.277953 0.360950 0.473400 0.641745
2025-06-08 0.112583 0.148844 0.198362 0.272943 0.386154 0.558203 0.853663
2025-06-15 0.098422 0.136337 0.191425 0.280661 0.428576 0.678265 1.167694
2025-06-22 0.085123 0.122130 0.178501 0.275163 0.447158 0.764094 1.461582
2025-06-29 0.076645 0.113485 0.172056 0.277925 0.479415 0.884020 1.886631
2025-07-06 0.068800 0.104529 0.163379 0.274575 0.498833 0.984842 2.329137
2025-07-13 0.063781 0.099379 0.160098 0.280052 0.536798 1.139871 3.023039
2025-07-20 0.059683 0.095176 0.157710 0.286547 0.578566 1.321523 3.952988
2025-07-27 0.056062 0.091309 0.155283 0.292345 0.620393 1.522853 5.160452
2025-08-03 0.053149 0.088331 0.154037 0.300298 0.669895 1.771530 6.876474
2025-08-10 0.050001 0.084547 0.150678 0.302882 0.706543 2.001333 8.863846
2025-08-17 0.046960 0.080712 0.146856 0.304065 0.741217 2.250900 11.475369
2025-08-24 0.043954 0.076652 0.142089 0.302216 0.767326 2.489685 14.615124
2025-08-31 0.040999 0.072402 0.136406 0.297083 0.782284 2.697280 18.144215
2025-09-07 0.039441 0.070775 0.136147 0.305784 0.844925 3.164367 25.912736
2025-09-14 0.036939 0.066995 0.130685 0.299696 0.856022 3.399156 32.274788
2025-09-21 0.035309 0.064865 0.128695 0.302778 0.901316 3.857307 44.784649
2025-09-28 0.033379 0.061941 0.124548 0.299051 0.920476 4.192019 58.164164
2025-10-05 0.032214 0.060541 0.123817 0.305148 0.980948 4.854624 87.023138
2025-10-12 0.031193 0.059361 0.123469 0.312382 1.049892 5.673400 136.833956
2025-10-19 0.030194 0.058142 0.122890 0.318842 1.119184 6.609174 222.016189
2025-10-26 0.029375 0.057255 0.123033 0.327711 1.204633 7.842999 396.641530